The problem with Fick's law is that we don't know the Diffusion coefficient of CO2 in water. The often quoted 1.8×10−9 may or may not apply to our typical aquarium conditions considering turbulence and surface agitation. But I agree, we could use it at least as a first guestimation, as starting point.We do not need experiments to identify what controls the diffusion rate here; Fick’s law already tells us the relevant parameters.
Then of course, we would need an estimation for the plant CO2 uptake, in relation to the CO2 diffusion in water, as these two are the only relevant CO2 flows in steady state.
Using the sensor with the "reverse" setup, ie injecting in the water while measuring above, is essentially how professional CO2 meters work and could save a couple of thousand USD. The benefit will be that we take the water chemistry out of the equation, and could be much better than a pH probe for controlling CO2.Maybe you could also inject 100% CO2 into the water instead of the headspace to have more efficient diffusion into the water (exploiting a higher pressure difference between the bubbles and water, and a larger surface for efficient delivery of CO2), and still measure the CO2 in the headspace.
This seems not a very good idea to me. Air pumps for our hobby don't have much pressure, the bubbles will therefore be quite large and hence the surface area of bubbles will not be very large compared to the surface area of the tank's water. For sure it will help, but probably not too much.air pump and diffuser that takes air from the headspace and injects it into the water, therefore increasing the surface for gas exchange



